The Economy Lost Jobs and Stocks Had Their Best Week Since April.

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The Economy Lost Jobs and Stocks Had Their Best Week Since April.
Deals Catchers
Deals Catchers • August 9, 2026
Mike LeeBy Mike Lee · 9 Aug 2026

The economy lost jobs on Friday and the market had its best week since April. On Wednesday we find out whether that made any sense.
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THE WEEK • Friday close
Bad news for workers turned out to be good news for stocks
The Nasdaq gained 5.19% over the week, the S&P 3.58%, the Dow 2.96% — the strongest week since April, on a jobs report that showed the economy shedding positions.
The S&P closed at 7,757.64, having touched fresh all-time highs twice during the week. The Nasdaq finished at 26,690.62, the Dow at 54,036.93.
The logic runs through interest rates rather than through profits. A weak labour market makes it harder for the Fed to justify raising rates, and lower rates make every future dollar of company earnings worth more today. So a report that was bad for people looking for work was read as good for people holding shares.
The best week since April
Index gains over five sessions — on a report that showed job losses.
Here’s why it lands on your desk: this is one of the more counter-intuitive relationships in markets, and it holds only while inflation stays contained. If prices reaccelerate, weak employment stops being good news and becomes the worst kind.
Source: CNBC / FXEmpire
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WEDNESDAY • The week’s real test
The odds of a September hike halved in a single afternoon
Friday’s report cut the market-implied chance of a quarter-point increase from 55% to 42%.
The two-year Treasury yield, which tracks rate expectations more closely than anything else, fell to around 4.2%. That repricing is most of what drove the equity rally.
Wednesday’s consumer price index is the test. Economists polled by Reuters expect 3.4% annual inflation, with core at 2.5%. Producer prices follow Thursday and retail sales on Friday.
The odds halved in a day
Market-implied chance of a September rate hike — before and after the jobs report.
If inflation comes in hotter than forecast, the argument that weak employment protects you from higher rates collapses immediately. That is the single scenario this rally is not positioned for.
Source: Reuters / CME FedWatch
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SEMICONDUCTORS • The comeback
Chips came back hard, and still have ground to make up
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up more than 70% in 2026 — yet remains roughly 15% below its late-June high.
Both things are true at once, and the gap between them is July’s selloff. One strategist described that episode as positioning having become too crowded and expectations too exuberant, with the month spent working it off.
The rebound has been real. Second-quarter earnings growth across the S&P 500 is now tracking near 48% with more than 85% of companies reported — against a 24% estimate when the season began.
The read for a long-term holder: the underlying earnings have consistently beaten, while the share prices have swung on sentiment. Over a quarter, sentiment wins. Over years, earnings do.
Source: Reuters / FXEmpire
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Page 339
Everyone celebrated the SpaceX IPO last week.

$1.75 trillion. The biggest listing in history.

But the most important line wasn’t the valuation.

It was the footnote Musk buried on page 339 of the S-1.

A 14-word disclosure revealing exactly what he plans to do with the $75 billion windfall from the IPO.

Not rockets. Not Starlink. Not the chatbot.

One small, publicly traded company that builds the permanent power infrastructure his empire can’t survive without.

Wall Street is still chasing the headline ticker at 80x sales.

The footnote points somewhere else entirely.

Dylan Jovine has the name, the ticker, and the full breakdown.
“The Buck Stops Here,”
Kelly Maguire
Behind the Markets
A ticker reservation is not a guarantee that a listing will occur.  Review the Full Offering Circular Before Investing >>  Ad
The Week Ahead
CPI lands Wednesday and PPI Thursday. Retail sales and consumer sentiment close the week on Friday, giving a read on whether spending is holding up.
CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials headline a quieter earnings calendar. All three speak directly to whether AI infrastructure spending is still accelerating.
Hammack and Barkin are the scheduled Fed speakers. Hammack was one of the three who voted to raise rates at the last meeting, so her tone after a weak jobs print is worth hearing.
The S&P is up more than 13% year to date and sits near resistance. A soft inflation print supports the trend; a hot one puts it under pressure quickly.
 
Stat of the Day
Second-quarter earnings growth so far, against a 24% estimate when the season began
48%
with over 85% of the S&P 500 reported
Forget the hot picks — protect what you’ve already built, and be careful with any rally that depends on bad news staying exactly the right amount of bad. Because the best trade you’ll ever make is the loss you never took.
— Lee
Thanks for reading. See you tomorrow.
✱ Sources & Disclosures
✱ Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com. This is a paid advertisement for Mode Mobile’s Regulation A+ Offering. Mode Mobile recently received their ticker reservation with Nasdaq ($MODE), indicating an intent to IPO in the next 24 months. An intent to IPO is no guarantee that an actual IPO will occur. The Deloitte rankings are based on submitted applications and public company database research, with winners selected based on their fiscal-year revenue growth percentage over a three-year period. Pro forma revenue and EBITDA, includes full year numbers of the businesses acquired throughout 2025.

✱ Reagan Gold Group does not provide financial, legal, or tax advice. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments carry risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult your licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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