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RATES / ENERGY • This morning
Oil Near Ninety. The Ten-Year at 4.72%. CPI Tomorrow.
Brent extended its rally toward $90 a barrel and the benchmark Treasury yield pushed above 4.72% — both moving against the market a day before the inflation print.
Monday closed lower across the board after last week’s records: the Dow slipped 0.11%, the S&P 0.06%, the Nasdaq 0.32%. This morning futures are close to flat, with the Dow down 25 points and the Nasdaq up 67.
The pressure is not coming from equities. It is coming from crude and the long end of the bond market, both of which feed directly into the numbers the Fed reads. Several FOMC members have already signalled a possible hike next month.

Three rates the Fed reads before it decides.
Here’s why it lands on your desk: the ten-year sets your mortgage, not the Fed funds rate. It has risen while the market was celebrating record highs, and almost nobody mentioned it.
Source: Regal Securities / TradingEconomics